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REIT returns reversed a four-month downward trend in December as concerns about rising interest rates eased, market watchers said.
The FTSE/NAREIT All REIT Index had a total return of 4.2 percent in December, while the S&P 500 index return was 2.0 percent. Total returns of the FTSE/NAREIT All Equity Index were 4.5 percent in December, while total returns of the FTSE NAREIT Mortgage REITs Index were 0.7 percent.
Property values nationwide increased about 5.6 percent in March as measured by the FTSE NAREIT PureProperty Index Series.
Brad Case, NAREIT’s senior vice president for research and industry information, noted that March saw rebounds in property values and the total returns that REITs receive from ownership of their properties.
In the latest edition of Quick Study, Brad Case, NAREIT’s senior vice president for research and industry information, said that despite a difficult month for all investors in January, REIT investors fared relatively well.
The total returns of the FTSE/NAREIT All REIT Index fell 3.5 percent in January. In the broader market, however, large cap stocks lost 5.0 percent, small cap value stocks lost 6.7 percent, and small cap growth stocks lost nearly 11 percent, Case observed.
REITs turned higher in July as solid second quarter earnings reports reaffirmed that fundamentals in the sector remain healthy, analysts said.
The total returns of the FTSE/NAREIT All REIT Index gained 4.9 percent in July, while the S&P 500 Index rose 2.1 percent. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note dropped 0.1 percent for the month.
Through July 31, total returns from the FTSE/NAREIT All REIT Index for 2015 slipped 0.6 percent, while the S&P 500 Index was 3.4 percent higher in the same period.
Jay Leupp, managing director and senior portfolio manager at Lazard Asset Management, joined REIT.com for a video interview during NAREIT’s 2015 Washington Leadership Forum.
After a solid performance for REITs in 2014, “we do think there’s still room to run” in 2015, Leupp said.
“We don’t think rates are going to rise as much as most pundits,” he said. “We do still see very strong real estate fundamentals… and we still see rent growth and earnings growth tracking ahead of inflation. In our view, this adds up to a pretty good year for REITs.”
REITs had another solid performance in May as the FTSE NAREIT All REITs Index posted a total return of 2.8 percent, ahead of the 2.4 percent return for the S&P 500 Index.
Year-to-date, the FTSE NAREIT All REITs Index has advanced 14.8 percent, while the S&P 500 Index is 5.0 percent higher.
“It’s another positive month, continuing the upward trend of the year,” noted Jeff Langbaum, REIT analyst for Bloomberg Industries.
REITs showed renewed vigor in April as the FTSE NAREIT All REIT Index posted total returns of 2.9 percent and outpaced the 0.7 percent return for the S&P 500 Index. April’s advances were an improvement on the 0.3 percent return that REITs had in March.
REIT advances in April followed a solid showing in the first quarter of 2014, when gains for the FTSE NAREIT All REITs Index stood at 8.6 percent.
Commercial property transaction volume is expected to reach $ 430 million by 2016, a 21 percent increase from 2013 and the highest level seen since 2007, according to a survey from the Urban Land Institute (ULI) and tax and advising firm EY.
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